NFL · NCAAF · UFL · Year-Round Algorithmic Football Intelligence

Maximum
ROI.
Every Game.
Every Bet.

That's our mission. We are a family business built on decades of algorithmic trading systems. We are massive fans of the game — and we found a way to beat the market. Now we're sharing it.

1,700
Markets / NFL game
100K+
Game simulations
5,000
Sims / player
1M+
Lines of algo code
Request Early Access See The Method
Live Recommendations
CLV-optimized · Updated now
MarketEdgeUnits
NFL · Gameline
Chiefs ML
+7.8%
2.1u Kelly
NCAAF · Spread
Michigan −3.5
+5.1%
1.4u Kelly
NFL · Total
Bills Over 49.5
+3.8%
1.1u Kelly
NFL · Player Prop
Kelce O 65.5 Rec Yds
+4.4%
1.2u Kelly
UFL · Gameline
Stallions −1
+2.7%
0.8u Kelly
Min edge 2.5% · Kelly units assigned · 10pt rationale included 5 bets found
ProvenEdge.AI
NFL COMBINE
EDGE David Bailey · 4.50 40 — fastest EDGE Day 1 · 52 tackles · 8.5 sacks · Stanford · 📈 Stock Up
LB Sonny Styles · 4.46 40 · 43.5" vert (all-time LB record) · 11ft2" broad (4th all-time LB) · Ohio State · 🔥 Historic · Stock Exploding
LB Danny Stutsman · 4.49 40 — blazing for 6-3 245lb LB · 161 career tackles · Oklahoma · 📈 Stock Up
EDGE Princely Umanmielen · 4.58 40 · 10ft4" broad · elite bend metrics · 11.5 sacks · Ole Miss · 📈 Stock Up
DT Mason Graham · DT1 overall · ran 4.98 40 · 34 reps bench press · dominant interior · Michigan · 🔒 Locked In
DT Kenneth Grant · 346 lbs ran 5.14 40 · rare athleticism at size · DT2 overall · Michigan · 📈 Stock Up
S Genesis Smith · 42.5" vertical — best safety Day 2 · 10ft10" broad jump · Arizona · 📈 Stock Up
TE Kenyon Sadiq · 4.39 40 — NEW TE COMBINE RECORD · broke Vernon Davis 4.40 (2006) · Oregon · 🏆 Record Breaker
TE Eli Stowers · 45.5" vertical · 11ft3" broad — BOTH new TE combine records · Vanderbilt · 🏆 Double Record
RB McGowan · 42.5" vertical — 2nd best ever by RB at combine · 10ft11" broad — best RB this combine · · 📈 Stock Up · Live Results
QB Fernando Mendoza · Heisman winner · QB1 · not throwing — saving arm for Apr 1 pro day · Indiana · 🔒 Protecting Stock
QB Diego Pavia · Heisman runner-up · throwing today · mentored by Johnny Manziel · Vanderbilt · ⏳ Workouts Live Now
QB Ty Simpson · QB2 race · throwing today · top-40 draft prospect per DJ rankings · Alabama · ⏳ Workouts Live Now
WR Makai Lemon · Biletnikoff Award winner · projected R1 · WR1 or 2 on most boards · throwing with Aaron Rodgers · USC · ⏳ Workouts Live Now
WR Carnell Tate · Top-3 WR on most boards · 40 time heavily watched · R1 projection · Ohio State · ⏳ Workouts Live Now
RB Jeremiyah Love · Consensus RB1 · Heisman finalist · state 100m champ · eye-popping athleticism expected · Notre Dame · 🔒 Protecting Stock
EDGE David Bailey · 4.50 40 — fastest EDGE Day 1 · 52 tackles · 8.5 sacks · Stanford · 📈 Stock Up
LB Sonny Styles · 4.46 40 · 43.5" vert (all-time LB record) · 11ft2" broad (4th all-time LB) · Ohio State · 🔥 Historic · Stock Exploding
LB Danny Stutsman · 4.49 40 — blazing for 6-3 245lb LB · 161 career tackles · Oklahoma · 📈 Stock Up
EDGE Princely Umanmielen · 4.58 40 · 10ft4" broad · elite bend metrics · 11.5 sacks · Ole Miss · 📈 Stock Up
DT Mason Graham · DT1 overall · ran 4.98 40 · 34 reps bench press · dominant interior · Michigan · 🔒 Locked In
DT Kenneth Grant · 346 lbs ran 5.14 40 · rare athleticism at size · DT2 overall · Michigan · 📈 Stock Up
S Genesis Smith · 42.5" vertical — best safety Day 2 · 10ft10" broad jump · Arizona · 📈 Stock Up
TE Kenyon Sadiq · 4.39 40 — NEW TE COMBINE RECORD · broke Vernon Davis 4.40 (2006) · Oregon · 🏆 Record Breaker
TE Eli Stowers · 45.5" vertical · 11ft3" broad — BOTH new TE combine records · Vanderbilt · 🏆 Double Record
RB McGowan · 42.5" vertical — 2nd best ever by RB at combine · 10ft11" broad — best RB this combine · · 📈 Stock Up · Live Results
QB Fernando Mendoza · Heisman winner · QB1 · not throwing — saving arm for Apr 1 pro day · Indiana · 🔒 Protecting Stock
QB Diego Pavia · Heisman runner-up · throwing today · mentored by Johnny Manziel · Vanderbilt · ⏳ Workouts Live Now
QB Ty Simpson · QB2 race · throwing today · top-40 draft prospect per DJ rankings · Alabama · ⏳ Workouts Live Now
WR Makai Lemon · Biletnikoff Award winner · projected R1 · WR1 or 2 on most boards · throwing with Aaron Rodgers · USC · ⏳ Workouts Live Now
WR Carnell Tate · Top-3 WR on most boards · 40 time heavily watched · R1 projection · Ohio State · ⏳ Workouts Live Now
RB Jeremiyah Love · Consensus RB1 · Heisman finalist · state 100m champ · eye-popping athleticism expected · Notre Dame · 🔒 Protecting Stock
UFL 2026
Birmingham @ Louisville · Mar 27 · FOX
DC @ St. Louis · Mar 28 · ESPN
Houston @ Dallas · Mar 28 · FOX
Columbus @ Orlando · Mar 29 · ESPN
DC @ Columbus · Apr 3 · FOX
Louisville @ Orlando · Apr 4 · ESPN
Birmingham @ Houston · Apr 5 · ESPN2
St. Louis @ Dallas · Apr 7 · FS1
Orlando @ Louisville · Apr 10 · FOX
Houston @ DC · Apr 11 · ESPN
Columbus @ Dallas · Apr 12 · ABC
Birmingham @ St. Louis · Apr 12 · ABC
Louisville @ Houston · Apr 16 · ESPN
Dallas @ Columbus · Apr 17 · FOX
St. Louis @ DC · Apr 18 · ABC
Orlando @ Birmingham · Apr 19 · ESPN
Birmingham @ Louisville · Mar 27 · FOX
DC @ St. Louis · Mar 28 · ESPN
Houston @ Dallas · Mar 28 · FOX
Columbus @ Orlando · Mar 29 · ESPN
DC @ Columbus · Apr 3 · FOX
Louisville @ Orlando · Apr 4 · ESPN
Birmingham @ Houston · Apr 5 · ESPN2
St. Louis @ Dallas · Apr 7 · FS1
Orlando @ Louisville · Apr 10 · FOX
Houston @ DC · Apr 11 · ESPN
Columbus @ Dallas · Apr 12 · ABC
Birmingham @ St. Louis · Apr 12 · ABC
Louisville @ Houston · Apr 16 · ESPN
Dallas @ Columbus · Apr 17 · FOX
St. Louis @ DC · Apr 18 · ABC
Orlando @ Birmingham · Apr 19 · ESPN
NCAAF P4
SEC Media Days · Jul 2026 · SEC
Big Ten Media Days · Jul 2026 · B1G
ACC & Big 12 Media Days · Jul 2026 · P4
Week 0 Kickoff · Aug 22 · ESPN
College Football Kickoff · Aug 29 · ABC
SEC Opener Week · Sep 5 · SEC
Rivalry Weekend · Nov 28 · FOX
Conference Championships · Dec 5 · ABC
CFP Quarterfinals · Dec 20 · ESPN
CFP Semifinals · Jan 2027 · ESPN
CFP National Championship · Jan 2027 · ESPN
SEC Media Days · Jul 2026 · SEC
Big Ten Media Days · Jul 2026 · B1G
ACC & Big 12 Media Days · Jul 2026 · P4
Week 0 Kickoff · Aug 22 · ESPN
College Football Kickoff · Aug 29 · ABC
SEC Opener Week · Sep 5 · SEC
Rivalry Weekend · Nov 28 · FOX
Conference Championships · Dec 5 · ABC
CFP Quarterfinals · Dec 20 · ESPN
CFP Semifinals · Jan 2027 · ESPN
CFP National Championship · Jan 2027 · ESPN
NFL 2026
Hall of Fame Game · Aug 6 · FOX
Preseason Opens · Aug 13 · NFL
Week 1 Kickoff · Sep 10 · NBC
Thursday Night Football · Sep 11 · Prime
Sunday Night Football · Sep 14 · NBC
Monday Night Football · Sep 15 · ESPN
London Game I · Oct 5 · NFLN
Thanksgiving Tripleheader · Nov 26 · FOX/CBS/NBC
Christmas Day Games · Dec 25 · Netflix
Week 18 Season Finale · Jan 3 · Multiple
Wild Card Weekend · Jan 9–10 · ESPN/NBC/CBS
Divisional Round · Jan 16–17 · FOX/CBS
Conference Championships · Jan 24 · FOX/CBS
Super Bowl LXI · Feb 8 · FOX
Hall of Fame Game · Aug 6 · FOX
Preseason Opens · Aug 13 · NFL
Week 1 Kickoff · Sep 10 · NBC
Thursday Night Football · Sep 11 · Prime
Sunday Night Football · Sep 14 · NBC
Monday Night Football · Sep 15 · ESPN
London Game I · Oct 5 · NFLN
Thanksgiving Tripleheader · Nov 26 · FOX/CBS/NBC
Christmas Day Games · Dec 25 · Netflix
Week 18 Season Finale · Jan 3 · Multiple
Wild Card Weekend · Jan 9–10 · ESPN/NBC/CBS
Divisional Round · Jan 16–17 · FOX/CBS
Conference Championships · Jan 24 · FOX/CBS
Super Bowl LXI · Feb 8 · FOX
By The Numbers

Industrial-scale analysis.
Maximum ROI output.

Every recommendation we deliver is the product of a computational process built to the same standard as institutional trading systems — applied to every football game, every week, year-round.

0
Bet markets analyzed per NFL game
Every gameline, standard prop, alt prop, and derivative market — evaluated and priced against our model before a single recommendation ships.
0
Monte Carlo simulations per game
Full game simulations producing a probability distribution of outcomes — the foundation of our gamescript and all game-level market pricing.
0
Play-level simulations per team
Playscript modeling of team tendencies, scheme fits, and situational play-calling — driving team prop accuracy that the market consistently underestimates.
0
Simulations per player
Individual player projections built from 5,000 simulations each — accounting for usage, matchup, scheme role, and game flow to price props with genuine edge.
0
Lines of algorithmic code per game
Not a black box. Over one million lines of purpose-built algorithms — refined continuously, powered by multi-modal AI, and driven by one goal: your ROI.
0
Proven Edge Analysis Framework
Every game. Every bet. A 10-point assessment across gamescript, matchup, player, and market — plus a 10-point written rationale on every single recommendation we ship.
The Process

From first market poll
to your betting recommendations.

Every bet we recommend travels a precise, multi-stage pipeline. Multi-modal AI powers every layer. Every step is optimized for one outcome: maximizing your ROI.

01
Continuous Sportsbook Market Polling

We poll sportsbook markets continuously — capturing gamelines, standard props, and alt props as early as possible. Early capture is how we maximize Closing Line Value (CLV): getting you on the best number before the market moves.

CLV Maximization
02
Multi-Interval Odds Capture

We capture at different timing intervals throughout the week — tracking line movement, identifying sharp action, and monitoring when books adjust. Timing is a competitive advantage.

CLV Timing · Sharp Line Monitor
03
Algorithmic Processing

Captured odds run through 1M+ lines of algorithmic code — gamescript, playscript, and player simulations generate model probabilities. Implied probability vs. model probability produces raw edge values across all 1,700+ markets.

1M+ Lines of Code
04
10×10 Proven Edge Analysis

Every qualifying market passes through our full 10-point assessment framework — gamescript survivability, matchup depth, edge threshold, Kelly unit sizing, and a complete 10-point rationale. Only bets that pass all criteria are recommended.

10×10 Framework
05
Recommendations Shipped — Fast

We move as fast as possible. The moment a qualifying recommendation is confirmed, it ships to you — with full rationale, Kelly units, and gamescript survivability score. Speed is part of the edge.

Speed to Market
10 point assessment × 10 point rationale

The Proven Edge
10×10 Framework.

Every game. Every bet. Our 10-point assessment evaluates each opportunity from ten angles — and every recommendation comes with a 10-point rationale so you know exactly why we're backing it.

01
Gamescript Analysis

Determines primary, secondary, and survivor script — how the game is most likely to unfold and which bet types survive each scenario.

02
Team Unit Analysis

Offense, defense, and special teams evaluated as units — strength, matchup fit, recent form, and scheme execution tendencies all quantified.

03
Player Analysis

Individual player projections from 5,000 simulations per player — usage rates, target shares, snap counts, and matchup-adjusted output.

04
Matchup Analysis

Unit vs. unit and player vs. player — scheme mismatches, personnel groupings, and historical matchup data surfaced and weighted by relevance.

05
Gameline Bet Analysis

Spreads, totals, and moneylines evaluated against full model probability distributions — not a point estimate but a full outcome curve.

06
Team Props

Team-level totals, first-half lines, team scoring props — all priced from playscript simulation output and cross-validated against gamescript scenarios.

07
Player Props

Rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, attempts — priced from 5,000 per-player simulations. Standard props and alt lines both evaluated.

08
Edge Threshold

Every bet must clear our governance-locked 2.5% minimum edge requirement. No exceptions. No overrides. No gut-feel exemptions.

09
Gamescript Survivability

Every bet is analyzed across all gamescript scenarios and scored for survivability — how robust is this bet if the game goes off-script?

10
Kelly Criterion Sizing

Bet units assigned using Kelly Criterion — mathematically optimal staking based on edge magnitude and bankroll management principles.

+10
10-Point Rationale

Every single recommendation ships with a complete 10-point written rationale — the gamescript context, key matchup drivers, and survivability score. You always know the "why."

+10
Full Transparency

We track every recommendation — wins and losses — and share the complete performance record with you. No cherry-picking. No spin. Total accountability.

Transparency

We track everything.
We share everything.

We believe the best way to earn your trust is to show you our work — win or lose. We track every recommendation we make and share our complete performance record with you. No cherry-picking. No spin. Full transparency.

Complete Performance Tracking

Every recommendation is logged with the bet details, edge at time of recommendation, CLV captured, Kelly units assigned, and result. Edge performance is tracked bet-by-bet so you can see exactly where value is being generated. Wins and losses both — you see the whole picture, always.

100%
Bets tracked
Edge
Tracked per bet
CLV
Captured & reported
ROI
Published results
Recent Recommendations Sample · Illustrative
NFL · Gameline
Chiefs ML −145
2.1u
WIN
+1.45u
NFL · Player Prop
Kelce O 65.5 Rec Yds
1.2u
WIN
+1.09u
NCAAF · Spread
Michigan −3.5
1.4u
LOSS
−1.4u
NFL · Total
Bills Over 49.5
1.1u
WIN
+1.00u
UFL · Team Prop
Stallions 1H Over 13.5
0.9u
WIN
+0.82u
All results published. No filters. No cherry-picks.+2.96u net · sample period
Our Story

Institutional trading meets
America's game.

After years building algorithmic systems for large financial institutions, I kept asking: what if we applied this same rigor to something our family truly loves?

We are massive fans of the game — NFL, NCAAF, UFL, year-round. We studied the market for years, built the models, ran the numbers. We found the edge. Now we want to share it with you.
Founder, ProvenEdge.ai Institutional trading systems architect · Lifelong football obsessive
🏛️
Institutional DNA

The discipline behind large-scale financial trading systems now powers every recommendation. Systematic, rigorous, and relentlessly edge-focused.

🤖
Multi-Modal AI, Continuously Improved

Our entire system is built on multi-modal AI. We use the best models in the market and continuously optimize our algorithms — because the edge belongs to whoever improves fastest.

👨‍👩‍👧‍👦
A Family Business

Highly competitive. Passionate about football. Deeply committed to our customers winning — because that's exactly what this was built to do.

🏈
Football. Only Football.

NFL, NCAAF, and UFL — year-round. Specialization is how you build models that actually beat the market.

Coverage

One sport. Three leagues.
365 days a year.

League 01
NFL

The deepest, most competitive betting market in American sports. We analyze every game at institutional scale across all market types — spreads, totals, moneylines, and props.

Season · Post Season · Championship
League 02
NCAAF

Focused on FBS Power 4 — where the sharpest betting action and deepest markets are. Our models find consistent value where books still leave gaps across the biggest programs.

Season · Post Season · Championship
League 03
UFL

The spring league the market consistently underestimates. Thinner book coverage creates wider inefficiencies — our models find them early and exploit them before they close.

Season · Post Season · Championship
Plans & Pricing

Pick your league.
Or own them all.

Every plan includes the full 10×10 analysis framework, Kelly-sized unit recommendations, and complete transparency on every bet. Pricing details available at launch — March 14.

UFL
United Football League
Spring football. Thin markets. Wide edges. Our models find them early.
Season starts Mar 27
One Week Trial
Full access for 7 days — covers at least 2 weeks of UFL action.
Get Trial Access →
Full Season
Complete UFL coverage: Weeks 1–10, Playoffs, and Championship (June 13).
Get Season Access →
NFL
National Football League
The deepest market in American sports. Institutional-scale analysis across all market types.
Season starts Sep 2026
One Week Trial
Full access for 7 days — covers a full NFL Sunday slate.
Get Trial Access →
Monthly
Rolling monthly access through the season. Cancel any time.
Get Monthly Access →
Full Season
Weeks 1–18, Playoffs, and Super Bowl LXI (Feb 2027).
Get Season Access →
NCAAF P4
College Football Power 4
FBS Power 4 only — where the sharpest action and deepest markets live.
Season starts Aug 2026
One Week Trial
Full access for 7 days — covers a full P4 Saturday slate.
Get Trial Access →
Monthly
Rolling monthly access. Perfect for rivalry weeks and bowl season.
Get Monthly Access →
Full Season
Complete P4 coverage: regular season, conference championships, CFP, and National Championship.
Get Season Access →
NFL · NCAAF P4
Fall Package
NFL and College Football Power 4 combined — full coverage through both seasons, playoffs, and championships. One plan for the entire fall slate.
Starts Aug 2026
NFL Weeks 1–18, Playoffs, and Super Bowl LXI plus complete NCAAF P4 regular season, conference championships, CFP, and National Championship.
Get Fall Package →
UFL · NFL · NCAAF P4
All Access — Year-Round Football
Complete coverage across all three leagues, all season long. UFL in spring, NCAAF in fall, NFL week to week — no gaps, no switching plans.
⭐ Great Value
The complete 2026 package. UFL spring through NFL Super Bowl LXI — every game, every market, every edge, all year. One plan, all three leagues, no switching.
Get All Access →

Pricing announced at launch on March 14. Email us to reserve your spot before launch.

Launching March 14

We go live in
13 days.

ProvenEdge.ai launches Saturday, March 14 — two weeks before the UFL season kicks off. Be among the first to access institutional-grade football analysis: a 10×10 framework, Kelly-sized units, and complete transparency on every recommendation.

Get Early Access — March 14

Email us to reserve your spot before launch on March 14.

// Disclaimer & No Guarantee of Results

Proven Edge LLC provides sports analytics, statistical research, projections, and informational content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Proven Edge LLC does not operate a sportsbook, accept wagers, place bets on behalf of others, or facilitate gambling transactions of any kind. All information, models, projections, and recommendations are provided "as is" with no guarantees of accuracy, completeness, or profitability. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users are solely responsible for any decisions they make based on the information provided. Proven Edge LLC assumes no liability for losses incurred as a result of the use of its content. Use of this site and its content constitutes acceptance of these terms.